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Residents of Dapchi have told the BBC that the majority of girls kidnapped by Boko Haram last month have been returned home back home.Image copyright
Isaac Linus Abrak

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Killings and abductions have caused much trauma in Nigeria

The recent kidnapping of 110 schoolgirls from Nigeria shows that Boko Haram is still a dangerous force in Nigeria – despite President Muhammadu Buhari claiming that the group had been technically defeated.

BBC Africa security correspondent Tomi Oladipo looks at the strength of the militant Islamists, and their links to the Islamic State group.

Was IS involved in the kidnappings?

Not directly. However, a Boko Haram faction loyal to IS was behind the abductions, as well as that of the wives of police officers and university lecturers last year in Maiduguri, the main city in the north-east.

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Reuters

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Gunmen raided the school in Dapchi, taking away the girls

The faction is known as the Islamic State’s West Africa Province (Iswap) – a name aimed at showing that IS has expanded beyond the Middle East and North Africa.

It is officially recognised by IS, with Abu Musab al-Barnawi as its leader. He is believed to be the son of Boko Haram’s founder, Mohammed Yusuf, who was killed in police custody in 2009.

IS helps Iswap run a sleek propaganda campaign. Apart from this, direct links between the two appear to be minimal.

What led to the split?

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Boko Haram

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Abubakar Shekau’s leadership of Boko Haram has been challenged

Despite the fact that Boko Haram leader Abubakar Shekau pledged loyalty to IS in 2015, the splinter group opposed his leadership style and operational methods, which included using child suicide bombers and attacking Muslims.

It is unclear which of the two factions is dominant within Boko Haram, but both operate across the Lake Chad Basin region.

The Shekau-led faction seems to be most active in the north-east, towards Cameroon, while Iswap’s terrain of operation seems to be closer to the border with Niger.

Are there talks with the militants?

The government said it had relied on back channels – involving a “friendly country, [an] international organisation and trusted facilitators” – to secure the release of most of the Dapchi girls.

There is a precedent for this.

Last year, some of the more than 276 Chibok girls, whose abductions in 2014 drew global attention to Boko Haram, were freed by the Shekau-led faction with the help of the Swiss government and the International Committee of the Red Cross.

Their release was part of a swap, which saw the government freeing some top Boko Haram commanders.

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Media captionFatima’s best friend Zara was abducted: “They were pretending they would help us”

After the release of the Dapchi girls, Information Minister Lai Mohammed told BBC Focus on Africa that the government was in talks with the militants to negotiate a ceasefire. This is despite the fact that Mr Buhari has previously insisted that there will be no negotiations with the militants.

“We are actually talking. That’s why we were taken aback when this abduction took place,” Mr Mohammed said.

He denied that any ransom had been paid, or any prisoners exchanged.

The government may feel that the successes in securing the release of the hostages could eventually lead to a ceasefire.

However, this goes against the core objective of the militants – to fight the government with the aim of creating an Islamic state.

Overall, is the security situation improving?

This year started with Nigeria, Niger, Chad and Cameroon embarking on major offensive against Boko Haram. It was called Operation Deep Punch II, and the Nigerian army claimed significant successes.

There is no indication that the offensive will cease any time soon, though the government did say that operations were halted to open the way for the safe return of the Dapchi girls, who were dropped off in the town by the militants almost a month after the abductions.

Five of the girls reportedly died in captivity, while one – a Christian who refused to convert to Islam – was not released.

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Reuters

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Boko Haram is opposed to Western education

The military’s progress on the battlefield has led to some key roads reopening, allowing for the resumption of commercial activity in north-eastern Nigeria.

However, this could also make travel easier for Boko Haram, and it could return to areas from where it was driven out.

In the final analysis, there are not enough troops to fight Boko Haram, and to guard every town, village or school in north-eastern Nigeria – when they released the Dapchi girls they warned them not to return to school.

Relief operations are also threatened, as seen by the 1 March attack on United Nations staff in the town of Rann.

Abu Musab al-Barnawi has previously denounced Western-linked aid agencies tackling the humanitarian crisis, saying their efforts were a veiled attempt to Christianise the population.

His stance suggests that the conflict in north-eastern Nigeria is far from over.

Timeline: How Dapchi abductions unfolded (App users click image)

  • Suspected Boko Haram militants attack a public secondary school for girls in the north-eastern Nigerian town of Dapchi in Yobe state.

  • Nigerian government confirms 110 girls missing.

  • Yobe state government announces rescue of some of the girls from “terrorists who abducted them” and says they are with the army.

    Read more here

  • The Yobe state government retracts the statement and apologises for misleading the public, saying: “No girl was rescued”.

    Read more here

  • President Muhammadu Buhari calls the abduction of the schoolgirls in Dapchi a “national disaster”.

    Read more here

  • Nigerian Air Force announces deployment of military aircraft and additional personnel for search and rescue mission.

  • Nigerian army denies claims by Yobe State Governor that soldiers were removed from Dapchi before the girls’ abduction. The army then admits it redeployed soldiers away from the town, saying the area was “relatively secure”.

    Read more here

  • Federal government launches investigation into the circumstances leading to abduction and releases full details of the 110 missing schoolgirls.

    Read more here

  • UN Secretary General Antonio Guterres says he “strongly condemns the abduction and attack”.

  • Local human rights activist Aisha Wakil, known as “Mama Boko Haram” because she has known some of the militants since they were children, is quoted in reports saying that the Barnawi faction of Boko Haram confirmed to her that it was holding the girls.

  • Women hold a protest in the capital Abuja, three weeks after the girls’ abduction.

  • President Muhammadu Buhari announces plan to negotiate the girls’ release, rather than use military force.

  • President Buhari makes his first visit to Dapchi, assuring parents of the missing schoolgirls that the government will secure the girls’ rescue.

  • Amnesty International claims Nigerian army ignored repeated warnings of an attack on Dapchi town, hours before militants abducted the girls.

    Read more here

  • Nigerian government announces that 104 of the 110 abducted schoolgirls have been freed.

    Read more here

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